Trading Desk (901) 261-5950

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen! While the housing market continues on its fiery tear, the mortgage market is likely to slow down somewhat in the next few months. Inflation is on the rise, as demonstrated by corn prices, gas prices, lumber prices, you name it! We all know what this means: rising rates – and thus cooling refi demand – are on the horizon. Because lenders are expecting to see a decline in refis, they are competing for new customers by lowering their lending rates. As a result, lenders’ profit margins are taking a significant hit. For example, Rocket Cos. is expecting profit margins of 2.65%-2.95% in Q2 2021, down from 3.74% earlier in the year. Loans with lower margins reap lower bids in the secondary market, meaning that lenders are making less money from selling their loans than they did previously. Shareholders of wholesale mortgage lending firms are unnerved; some of the major players saw major declines last week.

In bonds today, the 10yr. T-note is currently holding steady at 1.57%, and the FNMA 30yr. 2.5% is trading at $104-05 to yield 1.65% with a +77 spread over the treasury curve. Remember that we do buy, sell, and service MBS loans, so call us today! Thanks, and have a productive Monday!

Cherry Picks

ARMS / FLOATERS

Cost
Average Life
Yield
Speed
Spread
Coupon
WAM
MTR
Loans
Factor
Caps
Floor
1 Yr. Libor
$104-28
1.91 yr
-0.22%
15% CPB
-52/z curve
2.492%
304
28
1,828
.5643
Periodic 5/2/5, Lifetime 7.484%
1.627%
+1.627
$10mm+ Fannie Mae 7/1 ARM 2.492% #841084 8/47 stated final

10 Year Fixed

Cost
Average Life
Yield
Speed
Spread
Coupon
# Loans
Origination
Type
WAM
Factor
$104-10
3.2 yr
.60%
402 PSA
+26/I curve
2.00%
1,109
2021
Fannie Major
118
1.0000
$2.1mm+ Fannie Mae 10yr am 2.00% #MA4368 5/31 stated final

15 Year Fixed

Cost
Average Life
Yield
Speed
Spread
Coupon
# Loans
Origination
Type
WAM
Factor
$103-24
4.2 yr
1.05%
254 PSA
+47/I curve
2.00%
17,399
2020
Fannie Major
168
.7772
$5.2mm+ Fannie Mae Dwarf 2.00% #MA4095 8/35 stated final

20 Year Fixed

Cost
Average Life
Yield
Speed
Spread
Coupon
# Loans
Origination
Type
WAM
Factor
$102-24
6.0 yr
1.49%
205 PSA
+51/I curve
2.00%
17,404
2020/2021
Fannie Major
238
.9967
$10mm+ Fannie Mae 20yr am 2.00% #MA4333 5/41 stated final

30 Year Fixed

Cost
Average Life
Yield
Speed
Spread
Coupon
# Loans
Origination
Type
WAM
Factor
$10-28
4.5 yr
1.84%
368 PSA
+119/I curve
3.50%
92
2020/2021
Fannie Major
355
.9392
$10mm Fannie Mae 30 yr am 3.50% #MA4296 2/51 stated final

Agency CMBS

Cost
Average Life
Yield
Speed
Coupon
Call Protection
Tier
GEO
DSCR
LTV
OCC
Factor
$105-10
10.0 yr
1.63% + 20/swaps
0% CPY
2.19%
108mo Yield Maintenance
2
OH
1.33
75.0%
94.4%
1.0000
$17.0mm FNMA 12/10 DUS #BL6689 2.19% coupon 5/2032 stated final

Agency CMO – 3 Year

Cost
Average Life
Yield
Speed
Spread
Collateral
Coupon
Band
Avg Life w/ rates +300
Factor
$103-30
2.7 yr
.95%
497 PSA
+70/I curve
Seasoned Fannie 30yr Jumbo 4.00%
2.50%
Busted PAC
7.6 yr
.3497
$5mm Fannie Mae "Busted PAC" 2.50% #FNR 17-2 KG 2/47 stated final

Agency CMO – 5 Year

Cost
Average Life
Yield
Speed
Spread
Collateral
Coupon
Band
Avg Life w/ rates +300
Factor
$105-30
4.4 yr
1.52%
282 PSA
+90/I curve
Seasoned Mixed
3.00%
Pass-Thru
6.50 yr
.2465
$6.6mm+ Freddie Mac "Pass-Thru" 3.00% #FNR 12-112 DA 10/42 stated final

Agency CMO – Long End

Cost
Average Life
Yield
Speed
Spread
Collateral
Coupon
Band
Avg Life w/ rates +300
Factor
$95-11
15.6 yr
2.36%
159 PSA
+45/I curve
New 30yr 2.00%
2.00%
Sequential
20.1 yr
1.0000
$12mm Freddie Mac "Sequential" 2.00% #5083 ML 3/51 stated final

Jim Tait is a registered representative with and offers securities through Hanover Securities, Inc. (Hanover), Member FINRA & SIPC. Although this information has been obtained from sources we believe reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and it may be incomplete or condensed. This is for information purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. Securities that may be shown are subject to availability and changes in price. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Changes in any assumptions may have a material effect on projected results.

 This information from Hanover Securities is for your private use and does not constitute an offer or solicitation with respect to the sale of any security. This information was obtained from sources we believe to be reliable but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. Certain transactions may give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. This information was based on current market indicators which may vary over time. We may from time to time buy or sell, or have long or short positions in securities identical or related to those identified herein. 

Although this information has been obtained from sources we believe reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and it may be incomplete or condensed. This is for information purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. Loans and/or Securities which may be shown are subject to availability and changes in price. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Changes in any assumptions may have a material effect on projected results. This information from Banes Capital Group (BCG) and/or Hanover Securities is for your private use, and was obtained from sources we believe to be reliable. However, we do not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. This information is for institutional investors only, and as such certain transactions may give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. This information was based on current market indicators which may vary over time. We may from time to time buy or sell, or have long or short positions in loans or securities identical or related to those identified herein. 

The pricing of loans or any Level II or III asset is inherently an exercise in quantifying uncertain variables. As such, great care should be taken when pricing loans for reporting purposes. The information included herein should never be taken as the sole method, or even a method to be relied on, for the pricing of loans or other Level II or III assets as this is for informational purposes only.